MLB / mlb / live
HOU 3 / CHW 12HOUHouston Astros54%
CHWChicago White Sox46%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterRonel BlancoConfirmed
Model pickHOU moneyline54%Model 20260720_auto
CHWHome starterErick FeddeConfirmed
HOU54%ML -102
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
CHW46%ML -118
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ronel BlancoHOU starter / away
Projected K5.4Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +134 fanduel / U -162 betrivers4 books at this line
Model over 5.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.577%over
O 4.561%under
O 5.545%under
O 6.530%under
O 7.519%under
O 8.511%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Erick FeddeCHW starter / home
Projected K3.7Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +122 betonlineag / U -123 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 3.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.570%under
O 3.550%under
O 4.531%under
O 5.517%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-102 / -118HOU / CHW moneyline
Run line context-0.3 (0)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -108 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total