MLB / mlb / live
LAD 4 / CHW 6LADLos Angeles Dodgers56%
CHWChicago White Sox44%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterEmmet SheehanConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline56%Model 20260414_1
CHWHome starterBryan HudsonConfirmed
LAD56%ML -199
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability64%Selected moneyline pick
CHW44%ML +165
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.4
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Emmet SheehanLAD starter / away
Projected K5.2Actual 8 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +106 draftkings / U -115 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 5.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.575%over
O 4.558%over
O 5.542%over
O 6.527%over
O 7.516%over
O 8.59%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Bryan HudsonCHW starter / home
Projected K1.9Actual 0 K
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.555%under
O 2.528%under
O 3.512%under
O 4.54%under
O 5.51%under
O 6.50%under
O 7.50%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-199 / +165LAD / CHW moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+105)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -1 / U -120
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total