MLB / mlb / live
LAD 2 / CHW 8LADLos Angeles Dodgers55%
CHWChicago White Sox45%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterRoki Sasaki
Model pickLAD moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
CHWHome starterAnthony Kay
LAD55%ML -156
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
CHW45%ML +130
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedLines
Roki SasakiLAD starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +115 betmgm / U -110 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 5.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.574%over
O 4.557%under
O 5.541%under
O 6.526%under
O 7.516%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Anthony KayCHW starter / home
Projected K4.0Actual 7 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +116 fanduel / U -129 betrivers5 books at this line
Model over 3.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.574%over
O 3.555%over
O 4.536%over
O 5.521%over
O 6.511%over
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-156 / +130LAD / CHW moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O 0 / U -120
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total