MLB / mlb / live
WSN 2 / CHW 1WSNWashington Nationals42%
CHWChicago White Sox58%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterFoster Griffin
Model pickCHW moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
CHWHome starterBryan Hudson
WSN42%ML +105
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
CHW58%ML -126
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#9
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap4.2 pts
Hudson has 0.2 IP this season (13.50 ERA, 6.00 WHIP). Griffin has null stats across all metrics. Model is predicting on noise. Market has no strong lean (CHW -117 is 52.9% vs model 57.5%). With essentially zero reliable pitcher data, this is pure guesswork.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.4
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+105 / -126WSN / CHW moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+164)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -115
30 books28 ML24 run line21 total