MLB / mlb / live
WSN 6 / CHW 3WSNWashington Nationals43%
CHWChicago White Sox57%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterJake Irvin
Model pickCHW moneyline57%Model 20260414_1
CHWHome starterNoah Schultz
WSN43%ML +120
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability56%Selected moneyline pick
CHW57%ML -143
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#9
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap1.0 pts
Schultz has 0.2 IP this season—fallback data means we're working blind on the home starter. Model leans CHW at 57.5% vs market 57.0%, nearly identical. WSN has superior OPS (.820 vs .729) but worse record. Irvin's 3.60 ERA in 5.0 IP is also small-sample. No comparison visible.
pitcher data fallback
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.2
Market total8.3
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+120 / -143WSN / CHW moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.3O -112 / U -111
31 books29 ML25 run line22 total