MLB / mlb / live
TBR 5 / CHW 3TBRTampa Bay Rays42%
CHWChicago White Sox58%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterSteven Matz
Model pickCHW moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
CHWHome starterJordan Leasure
TBR42%ML -130
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability46%Selected moneyline pick
CHW58%ML +110
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-130 / +110TBR / CHW moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O +100 / U -120
30 books28 ML24 run line21 total