MLB / mlb / live
ATL 3 / CHC 7ATLAtlanta Braves47%
CHCChicago Cubs53%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedATLAway starterReynaldo LópezConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline53%Model 20260914_auto
CHCHome starterDavid PetersonConfirmed
ATL47%ML +115
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
CHC53%ML -136
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.8
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Reynaldo LópezATL starter / away
Projected K4.2Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 betmgm / U -142 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 4.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.578%under
O 3.560%under
O 4.541%under
O 5.525%under
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
David PetersonCHC starter / home
Projected K4.8Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +110 bovada / U -135 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.569%over
O 4.551%over
O 5.535%over
O 6.521%over
O 7.512%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+115 / -136ATL / CHC moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -108 / U -112
33 books32 ML24 run line24 total