MLB / mlb / live
MIL 9 / CHC 5MILMilwaukee Brewers55%
CHCChicago Cubs45%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterJacob MisiorowskiConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline55%Model 20260831_auto
CHCHome starterDavid PetersonConfirmed
MIL55%ML -152
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
CHC45%ML +128
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jacob MisiorowskiMIL starter / away
Projected K7.5Actual 5 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O -106 betrivers / U +100 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 7.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.597%over
O 3.593%over
O 4.585%over
O 5.574%under
O 6.561%under
O 7.547%under
O 8.535%under
O 9.524%under
O 10.515%under
O 11.59%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
David PetersonCHC starter / home
Projected K4.7Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +120 bovada / U -137 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.568%over
O 4.550%under
O 5.533%under
O 6.520%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-152 / +128MIL / CHC moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-132)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -118 / U -102
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total