MLB / mlb / live
CIN 5 / CHC 17CINCincinnati Reds46%
CHCChicago Cubs54%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterAndrew AbbottConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline54%Model 20260824_auto
CHCHome starterKevin GausmanConfirmed
CIN46%ML +179
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
CHC54%ML -210
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.2
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Andrew AbbottCIN starter / away
Projected K4.4Actual 1 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -123 betonlineag / U +102 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 3.564%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%under
O 2.581%under
O 3.564%under
O 4.545%under
O 5.529%under
O 6.517%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Kevin GausmanCHC starter / home
Projected K6.5Actual 7 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +128 fanduel / U -145 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 6.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.588%over
O 4.576%over
O 5.562%over
O 6.547%over
O 7.533%under
O 8.522%under
O 9.514%under
O 10.58%under
O 11.54%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+179 / -210CIN / CHC moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-104)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -102 / U -118
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total