MLB / mlb / live
CHW 3 / CHC 4CHWChicago White Sox39%
CHCChicago Cubs61%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterBryan HudsonConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline61%Model 20260817_auto
CHCHome starterKevin GausmanConfirmed
CHW39%ML +150
Base model probability61%Moneyline only
CHC61%ML -178
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total9.0
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Bryan HudsonCHW starter / away
Projected K1.9Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.557%under
O 2.530%under
O 3.513%under
O 4.55%under
O 5.52%under
O 6.50%under
O 7.50%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Kevin GausmanCHC starter / home
Projected K6.2Actual 5 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +120 betonlineag / U -138 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 6.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.594%over
O 3.585%over
O 4.573%over
O 5.558%under
O 6.542%under
O 7.529%under
O 8.518%under
O 9.511%under
O 10.56%under
O 11.53%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+150 / -178CHW / CHC moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+113)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O +100 / U -120
32 books30 ML24 run line22 total