MLB / mlb / live
STL 11 / CHC 4STLSt. Louis Cardinals47%
CHCChicago Cubs53%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterHunter DobbinsConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline53%Model 20260810_auto
CHCHome starterEdward CabreraConfirmed
STL47%ML +150
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
CHC53%ML -178
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Hunter DobbinsSTL starter / away
Projected K4.1Actual 7 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -140 fanduel / U +122 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 3.557%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.557%over
O 4.538%over
O 5.523%over
O 6.512%over
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Edward CabreraCHC starter / home
Projected K3.8Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -158 fanduel / U +129 draftkings3 books at this line
Model over 3.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.572%under
O 3.552%under
O 4.533%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+150 / -178STL / CHC moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -115
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total