MLB / mlb / live
scheduledLADLos Angeles Dodgers52%
CHCChicago Cubs48%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterTarik SkubalProbable
Model pickLAD moneyline52%Model 20260803_auto
CHCHome starterJavier AssadProbable
LAD52%ML -208
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability65%Selected moneyline pick
CHC48%ML +174
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Tarik SkubalLAD starter / away
Projected K7.2
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%
O 2.597%
O 3.592%
O 4.583%
O 5.571%
O 6.557%
O 7.543%
O 8.531%
O 9.520%
O 10.513%
O 11.58%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Javier AssadCHC starter / home
Projected K3.9
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%
O 2.574%
O 3.554%
O 4.535%
O 5.520%
O 6.511%
O 7.55%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-208 / +174LAD / CHC moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+105)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -102 / U -120
32 books31 ML21 run line20 total