MLB / mlb / live
scheduledNYYNew York Yankees46%
CHCChicago Cubs54%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterWill WarrenProbable
Model pickCHC moneyline54%Model 20260727_auto
CHCHome starterShota ImanagaProbable
NYY46%ML +128
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
CHC54%ML -154
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Shota ImanagaCHC starter / home
Projected K5.8
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.592%
O 3.581%
O 4.567%
O 5.551%
O 6.536%
O 7.523%
O 8.514%
O 9.58%
O 10.54%
O 11.52%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+128 / -154NYY / CHC moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+136)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total