MLB / mlb / live
STL 3 / CHC 0STLSt. Louis Cardinals42%
CHCChicago Cubs58%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterKyle LeahyConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline58%Model 20260629_auto
CHCHome starterShota ImanagaConfirmed
STL42%ML +138
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
CHC58%ML -165
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kyle LeahySTL starter / away
Projected K4.2Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +140 bovada / U -156 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.578%over
O 3.559%over
O 4.541%over
O 5.525%over
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Shota ImanagaCHC starter / home
Projected K5.0Actual 8 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -118 betrivers / U +110 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 4.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.572%over
O 4.555%over
O 5.538%over
O 6.524%over
O 7.514%over
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+138 / -165STL / CHC moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+126)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
33 books31 ML24 run line22 total