MLB / mlb / live
scheduledTORToronto Blue Jays46%
CHCChicago Cubs54%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterStarter TBD
Model pickCHC moneyline54%Model 20260616_auto
CHCHome starterStarter TBD
TOR46%ML -114
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability49%Selected moneyline pick
CHC54%ML -105
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.2
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lines
Dylan CeaseTOR starter / away
Projected K7.4
Best price at 6.56.5O -130 bovada / U +120 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 6.560%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%
O 2.597%
O 3.593%
O 4.585%
O 5.573%
O 6.560%
O 7.546%
O 8.533%
O 9.523%
O 10.514%
O 11.59%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Shota ImanagaCHC starter / home
Projected K5.1
Best price at 4.54.5O -134 betrivers / U +122 fanduel3 books at this line
Model over 4.557%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.587%
O 3.573%
O 4.557%
O 5.540%
O 6.526%
O 7.515%
O 8.58%
O 9.54%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-114 / -105TOR / CHC moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-180)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -120 / U -101
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total