MLB / mlb / live
SFG 2 / CHC 1SFGSan Francisco Giants42%
CHCChicago Cubs58%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterTrevor McDonald
Model pickCHC moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
CHCHome starterJameson Taillon
SFG42%ML +108
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
CHC58%ML -126
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+108 / -126SFG / CHC moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+154)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -114 / U -109
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total