MLB / mlb / live
PHI 4 / CHC 7PHIPhiladelphia Phillies46%
CHCChicago Cubs54%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterJesús Luzardo
Model pickCHC moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
CHCHome starterShota Imanaga
PHI46%ML +100
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability52%Selected moneyline pick
CHC54%ML -119
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+100 / -119PHI / CHC moneyline
Run line context-1.0 (+132)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -109 / U -110
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total