MLB / mlb / live
NYM 4 / CHC 12NYMNew York Mets59%
CHCChicago Cubs41%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterKodai Senga
Model pickNYM moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
CHCHome starterEdward Cabrera
NYM59%ML +123
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability43%Selected moneyline pick
CHC41%ML -145
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total8.8
Market total10.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+123 / -145NYM / CHC moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.5O -114 / U -108
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total