MLB / mlb / live
NYM 2 / CHC 4NYMNew York Mets46%
CHCChicago Cubs54%
at Wrigley Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterFreddy Peralta
Model pickCHC moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
CHCHome starterJameson Taillon
NYM46%ML -104
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability51%Selected moneyline pick
CHC54%ML -114
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-104 / -114NYM / CHC moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-152)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -116
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total