MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCLECleveland Guardians52%
BOSBoston Red Sox48%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCLEAway starterFoster GriffinProbable
Model pickCLE moneyline52%Model 20260921_auto
BOSHome starterSonny GrayProbable
CLE52%ML +112
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability45%Selected moneyline pick
BOS48%ML -132
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.0
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Foster GriffinCLE starter / away
Projected K3.7
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%
O 2.570%
O 3.550%
O 4.531%
O 5.518%
O 6.59%
O 7.54%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Sonny GrayBOS starter / home
Projected K5.1
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.587%
O 3.573%
O 4.557%
O 5.540%
O 6.526%
O 7.515%
O 8.58%
O 9.54%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+112 / -132CLE / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+164)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total