MLB / mlb / live
scheduledLAALos Angeles Angels33%
BOSBoston Red Sox67%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterRyan JohnsonProbable
Model pickBOS moneyline67%Model 20260907_auto
BOSHome starterJake BennettProbable
LAA33%ML +175
Base model probability67%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability65%Selected moneyline pick
BOS67%ML -213
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.5
Projected total8.6
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Ryan JohnsonLAA starter / away
Projected K3.7
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%
O 2.571%
O 3.551%
O 4.532%
O 5.518%
O 6.59%
O 7.54%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Jake BennettBOS starter / home
Projected K5.1
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.587%
O 3.573%
O 4.556%
O 5.540%
O 6.525%
O 7.515%
O 8.58%
O 9.54%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+175 / -213LAA / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-105)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -103 / U -120
30 books29 ML23 run line22 total