MLB / mlb / live
SFG 2 / BOS 3SFGSan Francisco Giants46%
BOSBoston Red Sox54%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterBlade TidwellConfirmed
Model pickBOS moneyline54%Model 20260817_auto
BOSHome starterPatrick SandovalConfirmed
SFG46%ML +177
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
BOS54%ML -210
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Blade TidwellSFG starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 7 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -113 betrivers / U -105 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 3.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.551%over
O 4.533%over
O 5.519%over
O 6.59%over
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Patrick SandovalBOS starter / home
Projected K4.4Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -104 fanduel / U -113 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 5.528%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.580%over
O 3.563%over
O 4.545%over
O 5.528%over
O 6.516%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+177 / -210SFG / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+100)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total