MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCHWChicago White Sox47%
BOSBoston Red Sox53%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterDavis MartinProbable
Model pickBOS moneyline53%Model 20260803_auto
BOSHome starterPatrick SandovalProbable
CHW47%ML +110
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
BOS53%ML -131
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Davis MartinCHW starter / away
Projected K3.7
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%
O 2.571%
O 3.551%
O 4.532%
O 5.518%
O 6.59%
O 7.54%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Patrick SandovalBOS starter / home
Projected K4.9
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.585%
O 3.571%
O 4.553%
O 5.536%
O 6.523%
O 7.513%
O 8.57%
O 9.53%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+110 / -131CHW / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -110 / U -110
31 books30 ML22 run line21 total