MLB / mlb / live
TOR 4 / BOS 6TORToronto Blue Jays42%
BOSBoston Red Sox58%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterTrey YesavageConfirmed
Model pickBOS moneyline58%Model 20260720_auto
BOSHome starterPatrick SandovalConfirmed
TOR42%ML +108
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
BOS58%ML -126
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Trey YesavageTOR starter / away
Projected K4.8Actual 9 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +125 betonlineag / U -136 betrivers4 books at this line
Model over 5.534%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.569%over
O 4.551%over
O 5.534%over
O 6.521%over
O 7.512%over
O 8.56%over
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Patrick SandovalBOS starter / home
Projected K4.2Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +116 draftkings / U -142 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 4.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.578%over
O 3.560%under
O 4.541%under
O 5.526%under
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+108 / -126TOR / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -116 / U -103
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total