MLB / mlb / live
BAL 1 / BOS 8BALBaltimore Orioles42%
BOSBoston Red Sox58%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterChris Bassitt
Model pickBOS moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
BOSHome starterPayton Tolle
BAL42%ML +128
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
BOS58%ML -154
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+128 / -154BAL / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total