MLB / mlb / live
ATL 0 / BOS 8ATLAtlanta Braves56%
BOSBoston Red Sox44%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedATLAway starterBryce Elder
Model pickATL moneyline56%Model 20260414_1
BOSHome starterConnelly Early
ATL56%ML -105
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability49%Selected moneyline pick
BOS44%ML -115
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.1
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-105 / -115ATL / BOS moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-175)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -118 / U -106
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total