MLB / mlb / live
PHI 1 / BOS 3PHIPhiladelphia Phillies42%
BOSBoston Red Sox58%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterAndrew Painter
Model pickBOS moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
BOSHome starterSonny Gray
PHI42%ML +110
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
BOS58%ML -131
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.2
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+110 / -131PHI / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -115
32 books30 ML24 run line23 total