MLB / mlb / live
PHI 2 / BOS 1PHIPhiladelphia Phillies59%
BOSBoston Red Sox41%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterZack Wheeler
Model pickPHI moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
BOSHome starterJovani Morán
PHI59%ML -146
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
BOS41%ML +124
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.6
Projected total9.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-146 / +124PHI / BOS moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O +100 / U -120
31 books30 ML22 run line21 total