MLB / mlb / live
TBR 0 / BOS 2TBRTampa Bay Rays49%
BOSBoston Red Sox51%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterJesse Scholtens
Model pickBOS moneyline51%Model 20260414_1
BOSHome starterConnelly Early
TBR49%ML +116
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability56%Selected moneyline pick
BOS51%ML -139
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.3
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+116 / -139TBR / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+148)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -118 / U -102
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total