MLB / mlb / live
HOU 3 / BOS 1HOUHouston Astros43%
BOSBoston Red Sox57%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterCody Bolton
Model pickBOS moneyline57%Model 20260414_1
BOSHome starterRanger Suarez
HOU43%ML +133
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability59%Selected moneyline pick
BOS57%ML -159
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+133 / -159HOU / BOS moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total