MLB / mlb / live
NYY 4 / BOS 0NYYNew York Yankees49%
BOSBoston Red Sox51%
at Fenway Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterLuis Gil
Model pickBOS moneyline51%Model 20260414_1
BOSHome starterConnelly Early
NYY49%ML -110
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
BOS51%ML -108
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-110 / -108NYY / BOS moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-168)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total