MLB / mlb / live
TOR 2 / BAL 4TORToronto Blue Jays50%
BALBaltimore Orioles50%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterCJ Van EykConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline50%Model 20260921_auto
BALHome starterTrey GibsonConfirmed
TOR50%ML +103
Base model probability50%Moneyline only
BAL50%ML -122
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.0
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
CJ Van EykTOR starter / awayThin data
Projected K3.6Actual 2 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.586%over
O 2.569%under
O 3.548%under
O 4.529%under
O 5.516%under
O 6.58%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Trey GibsonBAL starter / home
Projected K3.4Actual 7 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -150 betmgm / U +110 betmgm1 book at this line
Model over 3.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%over
O 2.566%over
O 3.544%over
O 4.526%over
O 5.514%over
O 6.56%over
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+103 / -122TOR / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -114 / U -106
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total