MLB / mlb / live
scheduledTORToronto Blue Jays54%
BALBaltimore Orioles46%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterMax ScherzerProbable
Model pickTOR moneyline54%Model 20260921_auto
BALHome starterChris BassittProbable
TOR54%ML +102
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability48%Selected moneyline pick
BAL46%ML -120
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.3
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Max ScherzerTOR starter / away
Projected K4.4
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%
O 2.581%
O 3.564%
O 4.545%
O 5.529%
O 6.517%
O 7.59%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Chris BassittBAL starter / home
Projected K4.1
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.577%
O 3.559%
O 4.540%
O 5.524%
O 6.513%
O 7.57%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+102 / -120TOR / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML25 run line24 total