MLB / mlb / live
TOR 3 / BAL 4TORToronto Blue Jays52%
BALBaltimore Orioles48%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterTrey YesavageConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline52%Model 20260921_auto
BALHome starterShane BazConfirmed
TOR52%ML -108
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
BAL48%ML -110
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.2
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Trey YesavageTOR starter / away
Projected K4.3
Best price at 3.53.5O +112 fanduel / U -133 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 3.562%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%
O 2.579%
O 3.562%
O 4.543%
O 5.527%
O 6.515%
O 7.58%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Shane BazBAL starter / home
Projected K4.2
Best price at 4.54.5O +140 betmgm / U -162 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 4.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%
O 2.578%
O 3.560%
O 4.542%
O 5.526%
O 6.514%
O 7.57%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-108 / -110TOR / BAL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-186)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -102 / U -119
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total