MLB / mlb / live
LAA 4 / BAL 1LAALos Angeles Angels44%
BALBaltimore Orioles56%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterRyan JohnsonConfirmed
Model pickBAL moneyline56%Model 20260803_auto
BALHome starterBrandon YoungConfirmed
LAA44%ML +160
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
BAL56%ML -194
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ryan JohnsonLAA starter / away
Projected K4.5Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 betmgm / U -143 betrivers6 books at this line
Model over 4.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%under
O 2.581%under
O 3.564%under
O 4.546%under
O 5.529%under
O 6.517%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Brandon YoungBAL starter / home
Projected K5.8Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +118 betonlineag / U -130 bovada7 books at this line
Model over 5.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.592%over
O 3.581%over
O 4.567%under
O 5.551%under
O 6.536%under
O 7.523%under
O 8.514%under
O 9.58%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+160 / -194LAA / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+100)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -115 / U -105
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total