MLB / mlb / live
LAA 2 / BAL 5LAALos Angeles Angels49%
BALBaltimore Orioles51%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterReid DetmersConfirmed
Model pickBAL moneyline51%Model 20260803_auto
BALHome starterTrevor RogersConfirmed
LAA49%ML +119
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
BAL51%ML -140
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.1
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Reid DetmersLAA starter / away
Projected K5.9Actual 5 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -149 betonlineag / U +120 bovada4 books at this line
Model over 6.537%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.592%over
O 3.582%over
O 4.568%over
O 5.553%under
O 6.537%under
O 7.524%under
O 8.515%under
O 9.58%under
O 10.55%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Trevor RogersBAL starter / home
Projected K5.8Actual 9 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -115 betmgm / U +100 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 5.551%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.592%over
O 3.581%over
O 4.567%over
O 5.551%over
O 6.536%over
O 7.523%over
O 8.514%over
O 9.58%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+119 / -140LAA / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+149)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -108 / U -115
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total