MLB / mlb / live
scheduledPHIPhiladelphia Phillies55%
BALBaltimore Orioles45%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterZack WheelerProbable
Model pickPHI moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
BALHome starterKyle BradishProbable
PHI55%ML -136
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
BAL45%ML +114
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Zack WheelerPHI starter / away
Projected K7.4
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%
O 2.597%
O 3.593%
O 4.585%
O 5.574%
O 6.560%
O 7.546%
O 8.533%
O 9.523%
O 10.515%
O 11.59%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Kyle BradishBAL starter / home
Projected K5.7
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.591%
O 3.581%
O 4.566%
O 5.550%
O 6.535%
O 7.522%
O 8.513%
O 9.57%
O 10.54%
O 11.52%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-136 / +114PHI / BAL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -107 / U -115
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total