MLB / mlb / live
scheduledPHIPhiladelphia Phillies55%
BALBaltimore Orioles45%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterStarter TBD
Model pickPHI moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
BALHome starterStarter TBD
PHI55%ML +100
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability48%Selected moneyline pick
BAL45%ML -123
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Brandon YoungBAL starter / home
Projected K5.5
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.590%
O 3.579%
O 4.563%
O 5.547%
O 6.532%
O 7.520%
O 8.512%
O 9.56%
O 10.53%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+100 / -123PHI / BAL moneyline
Run line context0.0 (-10)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -112 / U -114
15 books15 ML8 run line8 total