MLB / mlb / live
ATL 2 / BAL 3ATLAtlanta Braves46%
BALBaltimore Orioles54%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedATLAway starterBryce ElderConfirmed
Model pickBAL moneyline54%Model 20260720_auto
BALHome starterBrandon YoungConfirmed
ATL46%ML -107
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
BAL54%ML -111
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Bryce ElderATL starter / away
Projected K4.0Actual 8 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -120 betmgm / U +104 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 4.537%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.575%over
O 3.556%over
O 4.537%over
O 5.522%over
O 6.512%over
O 7.56%over
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Brandon YoungBAL starter / home
Projected K5.0Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +128 betonlineag / U -143 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.555%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.572%over
O 4.555%over
O 5.538%over
O 6.524%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-107 / -111ATL / BAL moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -113 / U -106
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total