MLB / mlb / live
scheduledKCRKansas City Royals47%
BALBaltimore Orioles53%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedKCRAway starterSeth LugoProbable
Model pickBAL moneyline53%Model 20260706_auto
BALHome starterShane BazProbable
KCR47%ML N/A
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
BAL53%ML N/A
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.1
Market totalN/A
Total leanNo market
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Seth LugoKCR starter / away
Projected K4.0
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%
O 2.576%
O 3.557%
O 4.538%
O 5.523%
O 6.512%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Shane BazBAL starter / home
Projected K5.0
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.587%
O 3.573%
O 4.555%
O 5.539%
O 6.525%
O 7.514%
O 8.58%
O 9.54%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
No timeMarket unavailableN/A / N/AKCR / BAL moneyline
Run line contextN/A (N/A)Home spread price shown for context
Total contextN/AO N/A / U N/A
0 books0 ML0 run line0 total