MLB / mlb / live
SEA 6 / BAL 3SEASeattle Mariners59%
BALBaltimore Orioles41%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterEmerson Hancock
Model pickSEA moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
BALHome starterTrey Gibson
SEA59%ML -126
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
BAL41%ML +106
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.4
Projected total9.3
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-126 / +106SEA / BAL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-152)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total