MLB / mlb / live
HOU 3 / BAL 10HOUHouston Astros43%
BALBaltimore Orioles57%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterPeter Lambert
Model pickBAL moneyline57%Model 20260414_1
BALHome starterChris Bassitt
HOU43%ML +104
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
BAL57%ML -125
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+104 / -125HOU / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -102 / U -120
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total