MLB / mlb / live
ARI 4 / BAL 3ARIArizona Diamondbacks46%
BALBaltimore Orioles54%
at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterMerrill Kelly
Model pickBAL moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
BALHome starterTrevor Rogers
ARI46%ML +135
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability59%Selected moneyline pick
BAL54%ML -162
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.8
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+135 / -162ARI / BAL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.8O -118 / U -5
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total