MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCINCincinnati Reds36%
ATLAtlanta Braves64%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterBrandon WilliamsonProbable
Model pickATL moneyline64%Model 20260921_auto
ATLHome starterJR RitchieProbable
CIN36%ML +155
Base model probability64%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability63%Selected moneyline pick
ATL64%ML -190
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total9.5
Market total9.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Brandon WilliamsonCIN starter / away
Projected K3.4
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%
O 2.566%
O 3.544%
O 4.526%
O 5.514%
O 6.56%
O 7.53%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
JR RitchieATL starter / home
Projected K5.3
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.588%
O 3.576%
O 4.559%
O 5.543%
O 6.528%
O 7.517%
O 8.510%
O 9.55%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+155 / -190CIN / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+110)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -103 / U -120
32 books31 ML25 run line24 total