MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCINCincinnati Reds29%
ATLAtlanta Braves71%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterAndrew AbbottProbable
Model pickATL moneyline71%Model 20260921_auto
ATLHome starterChris SaleProbable
CIN29%ML +205
Base model probability71%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability69%Selected moneyline pick
ATL71%ML -250
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.7
Projected total8.9
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Andrew AbbottCIN starter / away
Projected K3.6
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%
O 2.569%
O 3.548%
O 4.530%
O 5.516%
O 6.58%
O 7.54%
O 8.51%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Chris SaleATL starter / home
Projected K8.4
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.5100%
O 2.599%
O 3.596%
O 4.591%
O 5.583%
O 6.572%
O 7.559%
O 8.546%
O 9.534%
O 10.524%
O 11.516%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+205 / -250CIN / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-108)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O +100 / U -123
31 books30 ML24 run line23 total