MLB / mlb / live
scheduledTBRTampa Bay Rays54%
ATLAtlanta Braves46%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterStarter TBD
Model pickTBR moneyline54%Model 20260907_auto
ATLHome starterStarter TBD
TBR54%ML +100
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability48%Selected moneyline pick
ATL46%ML -122
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.5
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Griffin JaxTBR starter / away
Projected K5.3
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.588%
O 3.576%
O 4.559%
O 5.543%
O 6.528%
O 7.517%
O 8.59%
O 9.55%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+100 / -122TBR / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -111
26 books25 ML19 run line18 total