MLB / mlb / live
COL 1 / ATL 2COLColorado Rockies41%
ATLAtlanta Braves59%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterZach AgnosConfirmed
Model pickATL moneyline59%Model 20260824_auto
ATLHome starterMartín PérezConfirmed
COL41%ML +200
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
ATL59%ML -240
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Zach AgnosCOL starter / away
Projected K3.0Actual 1 K
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.579%under
O 2.557%under
O 3.535%under
O 4.519%under
O 5.59%under
O 6.54%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Martín PérezATL starter / home
Projected K4.0Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +110 bovada / U -129 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.538%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.557%over
O 4.538%over
O 5.522%over
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+200 / -240COL / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U -1
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total