MLB / mlb / live
LAD 5 / ATL 6LADLos Angeles Dodgers59%
ATLAtlanta Braves41%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterRoki SasakiConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline59%Model 20260824_auto
ATLHome starterAJ Smith-ShawverConfirmed
LAD59%ML -124
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
ATL41%ML +105
Projection Context
Projected margin1.0
Projected total9.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Roki SasakiLAD starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 3 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +111 draftkings / U -135 betonlineag3 books at this line
Model over 5.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.574%under
O 4.557%under
O 5.541%under
O 6.526%under
O 7.516%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
AJ Smith-ShawverATL starter / home
Projected K4.0Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +130 fanduel / U -156 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 4.537%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.575%over
O 3.556%under
O 4.537%under
O 5.522%under
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-124 / +105LAD / ATL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
32 books31 ML23 run line23 total