MLB / mlb / live
ARI 3 / ATL 5ARIArizona Diamondbacks43%
ATLAtlanta Braves57%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterMichael SorokaConfirmed
Model pickATL moneyline57%Model 20260810_auto
ATLHome starterBryce ElderConfirmed
ARI43%ML +108
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
ATL57%ML -126
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Michael SorokaARI starter / away
Projected K4.2Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +109 betonlineag / U -115 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 4.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.577%over
O 3.559%over
O 4.540%over
O 5.524%under
O 6.513%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Bryce ElderATL starter / home
Projected K4.1Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -142 fanduel / U +120 betrivers6 books at this line
Model over 3.557%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.557%over
O 4.538%over
O 5.523%under
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+108 / -126ARI / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -115 / U -105
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total