MLB / mlb / live
NYM 8 / ATL 5NYMNew York Mets46%
ATLAtlanta Braves54%
at Truist Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterChristian ScottConfirmed
Model pickATL moneyline54%Model 20260810_auto
ATLHome starterBryce ElderConfirmed
NYM46%ML +125
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
ATL54%ML -147
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Christian ScottNYM starter / away
Projected K5.7Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -111 fanduel / U -105 betonlineag5 books at this line
Model over 5.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.581%over
O 4.566%over
O 5.550%over
O 6.535%under
O 7.522%under
O 8.513%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Bryce ElderATL starter / home
Projected K4.5Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +102 fanduel / U -125 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 4.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.582%over
O 3.565%over
O 4.546%under
O 5.530%under
O 6.518%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+125 / -147NYM / ATL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -112
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total